What's wrong with the Global Climate models

David Evans has written an excellent article over at the Ludwig von Mises site about global warming and the problem with the climate models used.

The Skeptic's Case

Fortunately the climate models got all their major predictions wrong. Why? Every serious skeptical scientist has been consistently saying essentially the same thing for over 20 years, yet most people have never heard the message. Here it is, put simply enough for any lay reader willing to pay attention.

Essentially he's saying that there's no conflict or disagreement about the direct effect of CO2 in the atmosphere.  The problem lies with how the climate models treat the system feedback.

This is just a quick post to refer people to that article.  Seriously, it is well worth reading.

My take on it, besides the point about the feedbacks, is that yes, global warming is occurring, but no, humans are not contributing a large or significant part in it.  Instead, this is a natural cycle of warming that is occurring, and it will not occur as fast or increase as much as even the more conservative warming models estimate.

All of which indicates that there is little we can do about it, but it will be slow and gradual enough to allow for humans to adapt to it without catastrophic incident or disaster.

So rest easy.  We'll have plenty of time to complain about the weather for many years to come.